New State-by-State Map Shows Trump Approval Stuck Below 50% Nationwide Ahead of 2026 Midterms

A new state by state map shows President Donald Trump’s approval rating stuck well below the halfway mark. About 4 in 10 Americans say they approve of his job, while roughly 56% say they disapprove.

That national number has barely moved in the last month, and the net approval score sits near -16 points. That gap makes it hard for the White House to claim broad public support as the 2026 midterm campaign season nears.

Support is deeply regional. Wyoming shows the strongest backing with two thirds of residents approving of the president. Several other Mountain West and small states also show solid positive ratings, while the coasts and many big states do not.

Swing states tell a tougher story for Trump. Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and North Carolina all show more people who disapprove than approve. In those states the margin of disapproval over approval runs roughly from about 11 points to about 15 points.

Those gaps matter because elections are decided state by state. Even in some states Trump won last time more voters now say they do not approve. Party strategists will be watching whether those numbers tighten or get worse as campaigns begin in earnest.

The data also show clear age and education splits. Young voters give Trump some of his lowest marks. Voters under 35 show approval in the high 20s while disapproval sits near the high 60s in that group.

Racial groups are divided as well. Approval among Black voters remains very low, and Hispanic voters lean strongly against the president. White voters are more split, but even there disapproval edges ahead in several parts of the country.

The White House points to economic signs as proof work is on track. In a statement, White House spokesman Kush Desai said: “Over the past year, the Trump administration has delivered critical progress to turn the page on Joe Biden’s economic disaster: cooling inflation, rising real wages, private-sector job growth, and trillions in investments to make and hire in America. The Trump administration will continue to build on this progress in the new year to continue delivering economic relief for the American people.”

Other polls show roughly the same national snapshot, with approval near the low 40s or high 30s depending on the poll. Taken together, the tracking polls and the state map point to a steady picture that favors neither a quick rebound nor a rapid collapse.

What comes next is familiar politics. Low approval can make the midterm map harder for the party in power. But history also shows that many things can change in a year. For now the map is a blunt reminder that the country remains divided and that winning will take work state by state.

Featured image courtesy of Civiqs